Elaborate-Hatchet
0xa42940d612c9b2e02d3cd35a4c3f17062782368a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$15.5K
Total PnL
$955.97
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
97%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 85.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$60.65
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1220 shares @ 83.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$181.74
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1800 shares @ 54.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$52.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1224 shares @ 86.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$973.14
$-90.81
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1060 shares @ 90.3¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$910.98
$-46.32
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
933 shares @ 80.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$699.76
$-51.31
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$596.38
$74.40
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
828 shares @ 66.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$575.26
$29.04
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
600 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$569.11
$8.10
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
600 shares @ 78.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$483.00
$10.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$146.00May 28, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$133.99May 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$131.99May 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$144.00May 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$162.00May 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3.32May 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$14.04May 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$5.76May 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$192.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$194.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$156.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$158.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$108.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$172.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$178.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$174.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$140.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$110.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$112.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$182.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $123.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".