Courageous-Resolve
0xa433d4588edeb224f036aeb41fb33a7653d8878e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$5.36
Total PnL
$-249.64
Realised
$282.81
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 31.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.45
$4.45
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.17
$0.18
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
600 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-35.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.60Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.22Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.10Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.89Oct 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.80Oct 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.89Oct 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.89Oct 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.89Oct 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.89Oct 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.89Oct 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.04Oct 16, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".