Substantial-Magic
0xa43a1b6d84230d5237df9268e98049be2f31ad85
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$98.55
Total PnL
$-21.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 85.9¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$64.75
$-21.15
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 17.4¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.05
$-0.35
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.75
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.2KMay 31, 07:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$100.00May 30, 22:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.85May 26, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.90May 26, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.97May 26, 06:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.51May 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.99May 23, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.02May 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$103.01May 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.02May 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$862.96May 23, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$109.14May 23, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$14.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 31, 07:40 UTC → May 31, 07:34 UTC
- SELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.2K@100¢May 31, 07:34 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$14.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$14.2K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
$14.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $910.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".