Pale-Algorithm
0xa459b63b7795a0fa4692f4f1bb82ff542e6fb61d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.44
Total PnL
$-883.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
295 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.44
$-229.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 14?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 19?
682 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-21.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2AM ET
504 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-204.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$211.85May 30, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.18May 30, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$215.59May 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$132.99May 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$83.40May 17, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$230.46Apr 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$230.02Apr 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$232.79Apr 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$152.38Apr 2, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$57.37Mar 31, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $65.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".