Exciting-Category
0xa45f3da9cbe567f7f46aa84287c4490daa424f97
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$718.77
Total PnL
$-706.21
Realised
$1.28
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$499.75
$1.13
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1120 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.45
$3.52
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.19
$0.89
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.04
$0.80
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.05
$0.38
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.95
$14.28
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.95
$14.28
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1131 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.13
$1.13
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1130 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.25
$9.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$300.00Jun 5, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$299.43Jun 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$299.70Jun 5, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$299.44Jun 5, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$299.99Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$498.69Jun 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$105.53Jun 4, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$57.82Jun 4, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$131.54Jun 4, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$799.20Jun 3, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$798.48Jun 3, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$52.81Jun 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$246.58Jun 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$499.50Jun 2, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$299.10Jun 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$9.94Jun 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$489.06Jun 2, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $205.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".