Lost-Forebear
0xa465a520c557ed253b755581fa1a2abf75936b06
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$527.61
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$63.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1005 shares @ 49.8¢·now 27.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.85
$-227.14
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
873 shares @ 10.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.26
$33.30
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1177 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$76.53
$-123.47
- YES
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
1309 shares @ 7.6¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.89
$-58.02
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
605 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.75
$-44.25
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.11
$-3.01
- YES
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
322 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.22
$-16.78
- YES
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-7.25
- YES
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.25
$-9.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
11205 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$7.21Jun 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.06Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$6.18Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.43Jun 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.69Jun 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$62.40Jun 11, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$21.60May 25, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$6.34May 24, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$0.08May 24, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$0.12May 24, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$12.09May 24, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$10.39May 20, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$5.34May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$10.48May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$10.40May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$10.39May 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?$10.40May 15, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.77May 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$10.40May 14, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $112.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.