Lumpy-Pneumonia
0xa467815561205cda0624d4b2f453a2753ca64a92
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-376.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?
233 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- VU OF LYNCHBURG DRAGONS
VU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears
221 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?
216 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 26?
216 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
209 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-205.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
178 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?
172 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 17?
142 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 27?
134 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?
128 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 20?$127.12Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 20?$125.59Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 17?$1.98Jul 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$3.00Jul 3, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?$145.90Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?$144.44May 31, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$5.76May 22, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$142.76May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$140.19May 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?$1.74May 17, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$31.26May 7, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$113.64May 1, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?$1.85Apr 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 27?$1.30Apr 26, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on March 2?$0.00Apr 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$20.63Apr 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?$2.50Apr 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$0.31Apr 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$111.63Apr 12, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 28?$146.67Apr 12, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $31.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.