Strong-Absence
0xa47ea45a8a602409d03c60514fbab5e46dc54580
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.80
Total PnL
$-8.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.93
$0.88
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.87
$-2.73
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?
3 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$4.60Dec 28, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 30?$2.00Dec 28, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 31?$2.00Dec 28, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?$8.65Dec 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLObama divorce in 2025?$0.03Dec 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$2.05Oct 10, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?$5.00Oct 10, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.05Aug 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.00Jul 16, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.48Jun 27, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMChina-EU trade deal before June?$0.00Jun 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.59Jun 5, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.06Jun 5, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$0.37May 12, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.45May 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.81May 1, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.10Apr 20, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$0.95Apr 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Apr 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$2.20Apr 19, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".