Cautious-Recommendation
0xa48b3272a847b7581fe0f924a46102a3b4c8d2c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$123.47
Total PnL
$-78.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
90 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$90.18
$0.18
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.55
$0.01
- NO
Will Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.21
$0.01
- NONGSHIM REDFORCE
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.52
$3.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 30?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 30?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 30?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 13?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 13?
710 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$90.00May 31, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2$6.07May 31, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.54May 31, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$108.11May 31, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$108.01May 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$11.20May 30, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$119.24May 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$119.00May 30, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 28?$10.52May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$108.22May 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$108.00May 28, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 28?$10.50May 28, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$119.12May 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$119.01May 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic$2.84May 27, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$111.85May 27, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$112.02May 27, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$121.34May 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$121.02May 26, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox$3.45May 26, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $78.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".