Joint-Yarmulke
0xa4aa513ad9a17497b1e4cf61ccaee4094d88e90e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$473.74
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?
48 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$45.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?
48 shares @ 93.1¢·now 91.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$44.39
$-0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?
42 shares @ 93.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$36.83
$-2.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?
29 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$28.88
$1.88
- NO
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
32 shares @ 93.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$28.36
$-1.63
- NO
Exact Score: FK Panevėžys 2 - 1 Tobyl FK?
29 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$27.43
$0.43
- NO
Exact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 3 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia?
29 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$26.91
$-0.09
- NO
Exact Score: FC Flora 0 - 1 The New Saints FC?
29 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$26.85
$-0.14
- NO
Exact Score: FK Liepāja 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien?
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$20.47
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$18.50
$0.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Flora 0 - 1 The New Saints FC?$27.08Jul 23, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Flora 2 - 2 The New Saints FC?$8.39Jul 23, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 23?$0.06Jul 23, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 3 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia?$11.33Jul 23, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Liepāja 1 - 3 FK Austria Wien?$17.99Jul 23, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Malisheva 1 - 3 Hibernian FC?$13.87Jul 23, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: AEK Lárnakas 1 - 2 MH Beitar Jerusalem?$17.99Jul 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Panevėžys 2 - 1 Tobyl FK?$27.08Jul 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Liepāja 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien?$20.37Jul 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Malisheva 0 - 0 Hibernian FC?$17.99Jul 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23?$17.99Jul 23, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 3 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia?$15.67Jul 23, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?$1.29Jul 23, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?$13.16Jul 23, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?$11.76Jul 22, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?$0.24Jul 22, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?$27.08Jul 22, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$13.96Jul 22, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$5.94Jul 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 23?$9.41Jul 22, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.