Glass-Pilot
0xa4c65fb4265f18091fc69dce09cf9a3a302f9706
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$67.87
Total PnL
$-0.12
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
2 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Texas advance to the Final Four?$2.04Mar 27, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?$2.11Mar 27, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage$3.85Mar 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.77Mar 27, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto$1.95Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$1.97Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.97Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1.90Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLPanathinaikos vs. Monaco$1.95Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBulls vs. Grizzlies$1.90Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$1.93Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?$1.94Mar 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLArkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5$2.77Mar 27, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in March?$1.86Mar 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$1.98Mar 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$1.97Mar 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.97Mar 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$1.97Mar 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.99Mar 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?$1.97Mar 27, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.