Thin-Corporatism
0xa4f11a29977d52294d44f761d98789f739f62417
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-47.2K
Realised
$-5.5K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
132954 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.3K
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
110353 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
99307 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
86921 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
84262 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?
41329 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
31871 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-776.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?
28479 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-803.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?
27360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-27.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?
21349 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-977.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$2.94May 23, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$5.12May 23, 08:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.43May 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$6.40May 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$109.38May 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$872.33May 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.4KMay 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.32May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$3.00May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$3.00May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.16May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.06May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$3.94May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$148.00May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.61May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$370.00May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.2KMay 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$11.10May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$11.10May 22, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$36.50May 22, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $176.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".