Fumbling-Thinking
0xa549adfa6e2271c0b85e3b8f3b4f8265fe0ad839
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$22.39
Total PnL
$-519.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$8.44
$3.44
- YES
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
19 shares @ 10.3¢·now 17.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.31
$1.30
- YES
Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.41
$-0.59
- NO
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
32 shares @ 6.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
12 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.04
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?$30.5012h ago
- REDEEMTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$89.291d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?$3.071d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?$3.071d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.071d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?$5.121d ago
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$50.661d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.264d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.074d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$6.634d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.284d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.204d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$13.824d ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?$18.524d ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$23.854d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$7.0627d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.0027d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.0027d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 41d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
