Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+8.5pp
24h Vol
$46.0K
Liquidity
$81.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+71.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 847h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 847.0h
- 17:01SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 847h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 78.0pp
to 100¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 73.5pp
to 100¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 80.0pp
to 100¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 89.5pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 90.0pp
to 100¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 92.0pp
to 100¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 91.5pp
to 100¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 90.9pp
to 100¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 92.0pp
to 99¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 89.2pp
to 100¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 89.6pp
to 100¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 89.4pp
to 99¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 86.5pp
to 97¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 84.0pp
to 94¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 60.5pp
to 75¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 87.0pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 85.5pp
to 92¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 81.5pp
to 90¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 81.0pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 83.0pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 76.0pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 76.0pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 85.0pp
to 92¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 85.5pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 86.0pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 88.5pp
to 93¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 73.0pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 57.5pp
to 63¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- @MrBeastSocial media postextracted · mediumyoutube.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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