Spicy-Flan
0xa54a4fdb8fddf3b5b3cf0bff4131268d199efb00
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$546.98
Total PnL
$32.86
Realised
$25.55
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
220 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$220.00
$5.54
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
213 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.84
$1.62
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
245 shares @ 29.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.14
$5.55
- NO
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
32 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.07
$0.16
- UNDER
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
30 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$0.09
- YES
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
26 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$0.05
$-0.47
- YES
Will Sol Vega win Big Brother Brasil 26?
856 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will Maxiane Rodrigues win Big Brother Brasil 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
16 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$28.98Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$5.99Jun 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$5.75Jun 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$1.53Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$3.04Jun 11, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$99.52Jun 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$99.52Jun 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$2.08Jun 10, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$35.00Jun 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$5.00Jun 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$6.91Jun 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$5.99Jun 10, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$53.03Jun 10, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$149.70Jun 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5$5.08Jun 7, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$1.34Jun 5, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$0.40Jun 5, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$10.16Jun 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$0.57Jun 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$199.04Jun 3, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.