ScienceMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Probability

71¢

+0.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$420.88

Liquidity

$2.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:54

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 71¢; flat in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5985.1h
LOW
14:54Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
14:00Price
Probability down -4.0pp
to 70¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -4.0pp
to 71¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
15:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 70¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 70¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -12.0pp
to 61¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 70¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 70¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventIn which month will SpaceX IPO?

Market Description

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket