Gummy-Debris
0xa560596fe7eb478ba251e5b60690e31d9d9285e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$62.15
Total PnL
$-19.88
Realised
$-20.03
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$21.06
$0.06
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?
21 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.06
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$20.00Jul 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$21.00Jul 29, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 in July?$21.00Jul 29, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$10.17Jul 29, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.02Jul 29, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$16.15Jul 29, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$20.12Jul 29, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.00Jun 9, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$16.01Jun 9, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$10.01Jun 9, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 9, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$20.04Jun 9, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?$20.11Jun 9, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.40Jun 9, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.33Apr 24, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?$20.00Apr 24, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$20.00Apr 24, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in March?$10.07Apr 24, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$11.01Apr 24, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $244 in March?$20.08Apr 24, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $19.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.