Fatherly-Bookend
0xa56083d82469941c9e7ccab657b770ae9549d83e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.79
Total PnL
$-849.37
Realised
$-28.80
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on April 24?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
355 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
273 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
198 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$12.91Jun 6, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$5.00May 26, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$5.00May 26, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$3.45May 26, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$2.00May 24, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.98May 24, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.04May 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.04May 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.02May 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 9, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $31.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.