Tricky-Razor
0xa56902ddb745968ad747f3a5a2a5f07ee68d96ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$111.5K
Total PnL
$4.1K
Realised
$446.27
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
46412 shares @ 90.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.3K
$2.4K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
30000 shares @ 84.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.7K
$2.5K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
21000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.2K
$1.9K
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
17012 shares @ 71.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$15.1K
$2.9K
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
4000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.9K
$-540.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
4000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$-419.99
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
1500 shares @ 77.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$922.50
$-232.50
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.25
$-8.75
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
6000 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
1900 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.74Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$5.74Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.74Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.74Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.72Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.72Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.72Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$5.71Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$5.72Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.73Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.72Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.71Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.72Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.71Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.