0xa5776817c4f37beb84a91b38df4aeb36564f0725
0xa5776817c4f37beb84a91b38df4aeb36564f0725
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$10.98
Total PnL
$-216.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
8 shares @ 45.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.57
$3.01
- NO
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$0.79
- YES
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Draw at halftime?
973 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 22?
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- GALATASARAY SK
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on March 20?
242 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
- YES
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,190,000 and $1,195,000 on April 1?
211 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.79
- NO
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-19?
190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 20?
174 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- NO
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?
165 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hurricanes win?$7.50Apr 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hurricanes win?$7.50Apr 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$7.14Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$7.14Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-05?$3.58Apr 6, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?$5.00Apr 5, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?$5.45Apr 5, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?$12.60Apr 5, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?$1.57Apr 5, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?$1.40Apr 5, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?$4.17Apr 5, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?$6.94Apr 5, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?$0.20Apr 5, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?$6.39Apr 5, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?$6.68Apr 5, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-04?$5.00Apr 4, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?$1.47Apr 4, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-04?$1.50Apr 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-04?$2.05Apr 4, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 23?$5.19Apr 3, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.