Which-Patient
0xa57f52de383dd239079c95600426183921441b3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$40.94
Total PnL
$-146.76
Realised
$3.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
155 shares @ 17.5¢·now 18.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.92
$1.78
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
55 shares @ 25.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.90
$-7.37
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
66 shares @ 19.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.96
$-9.04
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
150 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.67
$-30.83
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?
692 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.49
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on February 25?
133 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-32.21
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$13.40Mar 3, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.74Mar 2, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.62Mar 2, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.63Mar 2, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.23Mar 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?$1.23Feb 26, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 25?$3.59Feb 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$3.60Feb 25, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Feb 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.81Feb 25, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$9.60Feb 25, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.70Feb 25, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 25?$20.00Feb 25, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 25?$3.12Feb 25, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.01Feb 25, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.