Biodegradable-Burro
0xa5834d828304a8cec14d7e807442babec86ab44b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$439.34
Total PnL
$-208.84
Realised
$2.66
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
440 shares @ 92.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$439.34
$33.20
- YES
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
6354 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.49
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
1668 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.05
- YES
Will Viggo Björck be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
470 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-124.16
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
176 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.2KAug 9, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
9/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $168.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.