Formal-Thumb
0xa5836270851b9899a3b224ffeef9328afd200695
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$344.91
Total PnL
$-202.84
Realised
$158.88
Win rate
86%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.44
$19.44
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 Week of July 27 2026?
185 shares @ 13.4¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.57
$17.76
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of July 27 2026?
155 shares @ 16.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.49
$7.74
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 Week of July 27 2026?
132 shares @ 18.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.71
$3.96
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of July 27 2026?
134 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.06
$0.00
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of July 27 2026?
198 shares @ 11.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.76
$-0.79
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $337.50 Week of July 27 2026?
183 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.62
$-9.14
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of July 27 2026?
113 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.82
$-12.94
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 27 2026?
170 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.18
$-13.57
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$0.32Jul 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$3.12Jul 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$2.34Jul 29, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$7.41Jul 29, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.61Jul 29, 02:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$43.00Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of July 27 2026?$1.30Jul 28, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of July 27 2026?$2.34Jul 28, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 27 2026?$13.45Jul 28, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 27 2026?$24.57Jul 28, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of July 27 2026?$25.60Jul 28, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of July 27 2026?$24.38Jul 28, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of July 27 2026?$1.16Jul 28, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 Week of July 27 2026?$24.53Jul 28, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $337.50 Week of July 27 2026?$24.58Jul 28, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of July 27 2026?$15.79Jul 28, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of July 27 2026?$24.85Jul 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of July 27 2026?$3.53Jul 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of July 27 2026?$24.85Jul 27, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.