Juvenile-Range
0xa58b1fb648008ddb7de78881cd21553978d88541
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.5K
Realised
$-12.3K
Win rate
1%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-224.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
4640 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
2790 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
2193 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1762 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-969.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1279 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-685.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1248 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-660.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
1186 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-668.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
1131 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-601.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
1116 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-699.12
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.24Aug 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.52Aug 18, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.86Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.6KAug 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$301.44Aug 17, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$681.75Aug 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$300.46Aug 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11AM ET$128.59Aug 17, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$529.58Aug 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$301.17Aug 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$128.50Aug 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$50.72Aug 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$129.31Aug 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10AM ET$50.65Aug 17, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$428.40Aug 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$131.31Aug 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$51.99Aug 17, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$96.43Aug 17, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
198 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $171.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.