Intrepid-Jumper
0xa5b468889591fa4b6dc730756a671e485088f98b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.44
Total PnL
$-19.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
291 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
James Comey arrested by April 28?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$1.03Jun 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$1.03Jun 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Czechia (-2.5)$1.03Jun 11, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.02Jun 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.02Jun 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 11, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Czechia (-2.5)$1.03Jun 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.04Apr 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.21Apr 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.80Apr 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$1.84Apr 29, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.