Merry-Authorization
0xa5ba717bd19aa1d7a234861b8be851dca28d6b30
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-907.45
Realised
$14.04
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?
8306 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
2956 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
2124 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?
1213 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
1191 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?
1183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
1010 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.70
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.07May 19, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.82May 19, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.06May 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.03May 19, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.00May 19, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.32May 19, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.28May 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.48May 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.52May 19, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.03May 19, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.07May 19, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.04May 19, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.02May 19, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.06May 19, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.04May 19, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.00May 19, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.64May 19, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.03May 19, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.52May 19, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.02May 19, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.