Runny-Pillar
0xa5c527dc0369229d42323f0405aa217d47002e6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
102990 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-411.96
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
37608 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
20476 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
9122 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-599.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
7069 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-119.99
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
4000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will England win on 2026-03-27?
1758 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?
1389 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?
83 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$428.37Jun 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$28.24Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$10.05Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$6.03Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$20.10Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$19.87Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$48.68Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$21.29Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$48.07Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$2.0KMar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$19.65Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$410.08Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$17.70Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$39.79Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$2.72Mar 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$4.5KMar 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$2.3KMar 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?$1.3KMar 27, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?$11.84Mar 27, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-03-27?$980.29Mar 27, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $629.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".