Secondary-Maximum
0xa5c7114b3c17cc6b64afd5883eaabc7272497e7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$825.79
Total PnL
$-71.74
Realised
$-6.58
Win rate
45%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
32 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$30.70
$0.17
- NO
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
31 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$30.69
$0.33
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.82
$0.11
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
29 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$28.67
$1.13
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.21
$0.15
- NO
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
29 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$28.04
$0.31
- NO
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
31 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.00
$0.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
31 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.89
$-0.15
- NO
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.78
$0.14
- NO
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
29 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$27.76
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$26.91Jul 29, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$27.62Jul 29, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$27.71Jul 29, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$12.97Jul 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$27.69Jul 29, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$27.71Jul 29, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$27.60Jul 29, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$27.70Jul 29, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$14.57Jul 29, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$28.06Jul 29, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$27.82Jul 29, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$28.24Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$27.71Jul 29, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$27.62Jul 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$28.36Jul 29, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$27.66Jul 29, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$27.66Jul 29, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$7.73Jul 29, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$1.00Jul 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$18.60Jul 29, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.