Crushing-Lottery
0xa5ca71d6b11509e2045e2d85c56bb3fdedbddcfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
111
Open notional
$42.79
Total PnL
$-838.51
Realised
$12.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
44 shares @ 22.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.78
$-3.22
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
88 shares @ 11.4¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.01
$-3.99
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
90 shares @ 11.1¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.90
$-4.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.99
$-7.01
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
30 shares @ 16.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
1588 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-15?
719 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$10.36May 29, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$10.36May 29, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$10.31May 29, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$5.00May 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$14.23May 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.16May 22, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$15.40May 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$121.99May 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$76.00May 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$92.49May 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$43.50May 22, 07:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 22, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.15May 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.40May 21, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$62.00May 21, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$17.20May 21, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$136.00May 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$29.83May 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$36.18May 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$132.00May 21, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $47.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".