Difficult-Project
0xa5dafd034edfe8fd06697f27028a9bdbad4a01bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$560.00
Total PnL
$-102.62
Realised
$-14.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
324 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$324.00
$21.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
43 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$43.00
$9.03
- NO
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 7–9 years in prison?
38 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$38.00
$6.46
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
37 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$37.00
$19.24
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
27 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$27.00
$8.37
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
26 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$26.00
$17.94
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$19.00
$3.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
18 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$18.00
$5.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$18.00
$3.60
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$6.00
$2.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$1.68Jan 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$1.92Jan 15, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$3.06Jan 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$3.57Jan 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.20Jan 15, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.32Jan 15, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.12Jan 15, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.10Jan 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.86Jan 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.96Jan 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$13.40Jan 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$13.40Jan 15, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.02Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.20Jan 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$18.98Jan 15, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$20.80Jan 14, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$3.60Jan 14, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$13.02Jan 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$1.30Jan 14, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$2.21Jan 14, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".