Kindly-Fixture
0xa5f3264ad298e787d0b66c043638b11cc458c0d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$310.47
Total PnL
$-35.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
281 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$268.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 21?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$29.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- QUENTIN HALYS
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- BEŞIKTAŞ JK
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- CHENGDU RONGCHENG FC
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
32 shares @ 93.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-29.90
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$270.00May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?$2.01May 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 21?$30.01May 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)$2.00May 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)$2.00May 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$2.01May 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys$2.00May 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$298.44May 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$300.38May 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?$5.01May 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$174.08May 15, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Harmony Tan vs Anna Bondar$5.37May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMBMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonseca$10.13May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMTianjin Pioneers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales$10.84May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.94May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?$102.09May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 14 be between 80 and 85?$1.07May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMPorsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund$5.18May 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMBC Samara vs. Uralmash$5.31May 15, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $126.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".