0xa5fa33ac8ffdbd663f450f4143264f039ec13d88
0xa5fa33ac8ffdbd663f450f4143264f039ec13d88
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$124.17
Total PnL
$-340.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
59 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$59.18
$34.18
- NO
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.09
$3.09
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$21.75
$16.75
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
5 shares @ 92.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1334 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- OH MY GOD
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMQatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osorio$44.64Feb 13, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$68.92Feb 13, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals$83.33Feb 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals$25.00Feb 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$25.00Feb 11, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score$25.00Feb 11, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)$30.12Feb 11, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMStefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown$33.33Feb 11, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$25.00Feb 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals$25.00Feb 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osorio$25.00Feb 11, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?$25.00Feb 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$25.00Feb 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)$25.00Feb 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-11.5)$25.00Feb 9, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$25.00Feb 9, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?$29.07Feb 9, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?$31.25Feb 9, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)$35.21Feb 9, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Celtics$36.76Feb 9, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $24.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.