Funny-Viscose
0xa602031688f5de7164a8b2ef03e0ed95e145fecc
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-749.10
Realised
$19.26
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?
4712 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will the fight end in Round 5?
530 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-47.40
- YES
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
430 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-201.89
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
294 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-29.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
233 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?
121 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
117 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.