Hopeful-Call
0xa60bf694534327d9c72a2d14541fb15f726bf89b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$65.77
Total PnL
$4.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$42.37
$17.37
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$18.52
$8.52
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-11.25
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-4.89
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Mar 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Mar 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.00Mar 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00Feb 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Feb 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?$10.00Feb 28, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$246.76Feb 28, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$101.17Feb 24, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $20.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.