Quarrelsome-Cake
0xa61b2981fe679b2a34608db90bc4057569219d74
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-995.43
Realised
$137.00
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?
1332 shares @ 69.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$978.67
$52.80
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?
2068 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$527.44
$2.96
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
79 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$57.44
$-0.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?
53 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$41.08
$-0.27
- NO
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.75
$0.45
- YES
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1432 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Solana Network go down in January?
1200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Trump say a racial slur before February?
1000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-27.78
- YES
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
909 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$0.016m ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?$50.4211m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$7.1612m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$4.7012m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$7.1612m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$7.1612m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$5.1412m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$7.5114m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$19.0117m ago
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$350.2326m ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$354.0530m ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?$59.7346m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$18.0452m ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$19.9953m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$3.9055m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$35.6655m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$3.9055m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$3.9055m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$3.9055m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$3.9055m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $66.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 6m ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".