Willing-Gym
0xa61df237eadcc9c44378803dcc04dbfe3348175e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$119.90
Total PnL
$-106.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
59 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 74.7¢·now 72.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.52
$-0.48
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
502 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.04
$-1.40
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25 shares @ 36.3¢·now 36.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.94
$-0.06
- NO
X Money released by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
19 shares @ 26.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Alberta join the US?
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$-0.61
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 57.1¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.11
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYX Money released by May 31, 2026?$5.03May 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?$2.96May 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$4.11May 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$1.03May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $5.00May 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.27May 15, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$2.07May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?$1.46May 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$5.20May 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$5.00May 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.90May 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.00May 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.53May 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.07May 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$2.08May 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.15May 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.13May 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.19May 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.20May 15, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".