Clumsy-Supply
0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$247.6K
Total PnL
$-64.3K
Realised
$-24.5K
Win rate
87%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
32040 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.9K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
34969 shares @ 80.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.4K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
107333 shares @ 31.6¢·now 25.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.8K
$-7.1K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
17078 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.8K
$550.73
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1799839 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.3K
$388.77
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
12550 shares @ 91.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.5K
$999.67
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
13976 shares @ 83.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.8K
$98.69
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
10500 shares @ 91.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.4K
$812.26
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
20491 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.3K
$-102.45
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
8500 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.4K
$315.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.02Jun 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.02Jun 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.09Jun 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.08Jun 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.02Jun 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.08Jun 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.10Jun 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.09Jun 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.10Jun 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.09Jun 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.01Jun 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01Jun 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.08Jun 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.07Jun 15, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.06Jun 15, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.02Jun 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.34Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.46Jun 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$17.13Jun 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$75.95Jun 15, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $207.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.