Wealthy-Banyan
0xa626b3a2054b5ada7ccca563fc0ee9e0accdaa07
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$260.49
Total PnL
$-5.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?
100 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$97.77
$1.35
- NO
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
100 shares @ 97.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$91.30
$-5.70
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?
51 shares @ 96.1¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.56
$-1.45
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
25 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.87
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?$96.10Jul 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$23.79Jul 1, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$97.00Jun 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELL10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$49.67Jun 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?$19.64Jun 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$48.50Jun 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$35.89Jun 1, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$48.40Jun 1, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.39May 30, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$50.74May 29, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?$31.44May 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.89May 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?$11.97May 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.57May 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$48.45May 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?$0.32May 22, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.34May 21, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$50.18May 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?$49.01May 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$14.96May 20, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $36.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.