Fearful-Reliability
0xa63748deadd850753342caaaeb10330d92763494
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-339.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?
150 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-148.50
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 19?
101 shares @ 98.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 11?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
21 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?
21 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 11?
17 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?$0.30Jun 4, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?$300.66Jun 3, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?$311.17Jun 3, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 1?$316.75Jun 2, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?$135.24Jun 1, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?$159.50Jun 1, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?$314.57Jun 1, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 1?$300.79May 31, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?$300.69May 30, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 27?$10.00May 28, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 27?$15.00May 28, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?$15.00May 27, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 25?$50.01May 26, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 25?$39.00May 26, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 24?$324.00May 26, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 25?$21.00May 25, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25?$15.00May 25, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 25?$20.00May 25, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 25?$6.00May 24, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 24?$322.77May 23, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $106.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.