Stark-Port
0xa6495b9dbce394e36cb7c073fb13c1131df3d73f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$8.31
Total PnL
$-26.30
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 19.8¢·now 38.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.89
$1.89
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
2 shares @ 40.1¢·now 61.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
3 shares @ 35.9¢·now 11.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- NO
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots
165 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
23 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- EGYPT
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- COLOMBIA
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$7.41Jul 9, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$0.29Jul 9, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$1.02Jul 9, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$9.58Jul 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$4.63Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLOusmane Dembélé: 2+ shots$0.05Jul 9, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$4.06Jul 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 2+ shots$1.03Jul 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 2+ shots$1.03Jul 9, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colombia (-1.5)$1.02Jul 7, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$2.03Jul 7, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$3.03Jul 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$4.08Jul 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$0.32Jul 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$4.05Jul 7, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.72Jul 7, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$3.06Jul 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$2.04Jul 7, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$1.03Jul 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jul 7, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.