Creamy-Pawnshop
0xa6597dd416d0bf962443562c2465490675188f63
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-659.06
Realised
$-243.09
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 30?
193 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 11?
181 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 29?
156 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-42.12
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 13?
131 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-35.96
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 20?
120 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27?
111 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 24?
102 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
93 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-89.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
92 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 26?
85 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 26?$3.25Jul 25, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 5?$221.75Jul 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 5?$0.50Jul 5, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 5?$219.48Jul 5, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$198.33May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$195.95May 26, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$2.54May 22, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?$211.99May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?$207.75May 17, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?$217.69May 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 11?$1.36May 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?$214.86May 10, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?$23.85May 10, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 19?$158.31May 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$1.97Apr 26, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 19?$1.30Apr 19, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 19?$155.43Apr 19, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$206.88Apr 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?$22.51Apr 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$203.56Apr 12, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $69.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.