Familiar-Drink
0xa6676646a16d8c7044ea2ac7e2b9ab09eb7384fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$10.7K
Win rate
77%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
1595 shares @ 77.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.2K
$-66.40
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
981 shares @ 80.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$710.94
$-73.55
- NO
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
606 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$593.13
$3.86
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
650 shares @ 39.6¢·now 37.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$241.64
$-15.89
- NO
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
208 shares @ 88.4¢·now 95.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$198.85
$14.98
- NO
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
589 shares @ 39.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$135.39
$-94.84
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
885 shares @ 20.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.32
$-56.80
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
148 shares @ 68.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$122.55
$21.32
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
600 shares @ 7.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.00
$75.00
- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
18310 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.71
$45.78
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.75Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$93.89Jun 13, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$16.50Jun 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$784.49Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$52.12Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.05Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$19.20Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$33.67Jun 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$55.42Jun 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$171.19Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$7.50Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$667.31Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$7.60Jun 13, 13:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$4.62Jun 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$176.98Jun 11, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$889.09Jun 11, 17:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $127.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.