0xa6aa2f188ec836ce9e989cd0e0c78c667129c47c
0xa6aa2f188ec836ce9e989cd0e0c78c667129c47c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-318.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
627 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-144.62
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 12?
317 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 10?
260 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.49
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
145 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-47.70
- YES
Kamala wins 275-263 - Sunbelt Sweep
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.58Nov 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.79Nov 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$40.00Nov 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$1.26Nov 6, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Indiana Governor Election?$1.26Nov 6, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$92.69Nov 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 12?$5.00Nov 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$0.06Nov 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 10?$5.49Nov 4, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 3.0%-4.0%?$5.59Nov 4, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$43.14Nov 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 4, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?$10.00Nov 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $5.00Nov 4, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$5.00Nov 4, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$6.62Nov 4, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florida be the closest state?$6.62Nov 3, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$3.59Nov 3, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?$1.87Nov 3, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris go on SNL?$1.45Nov 2, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".