Dapper-Baseball
0xa6b7ebd5ce137c3b5d56f896a52eba71702bd5f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$20.2K
Total PnL
$-312.33
Realised
$516.48
Win rate
67%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
34189 shares @ 10.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.6K
$1.1K
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
9828 shares @ 21.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$294.28
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
17226 shares @ 15.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.3K
$-391.78
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
2538 shares @ 45.7¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.6K
$401.22
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
2126 shares @ 72.7¢·now 64.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.4K
$-181.96
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
3913 shares @ 22.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$919.44
$52.94
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
3264 shares @ 39.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$832.25
$-456.94
- YES
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
1594 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$653.68
$-16.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
500 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$499.75
$0.25
- YES
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
1304 shares @ 42.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$423.80
$-130.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$74.54Aug 4, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$63.06Aug 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$148.40Aug 4, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$108.00Aug 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$66.50Aug 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$28.00Aug 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$8.19Aug 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$19.32Aug 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$0.38Aug 4, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$0.16Aug 4, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$14.00Aug 4, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$8.82Aug 4, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$4.00Aug 4, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$0.78Aug 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.98Aug 4, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.00Aug 4, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$20.01Aug 4, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Aug 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$10.50Aug 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$1.58Aug 4, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $31.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.