Adolescent-Bump
0xa6daf134b9759d35ae585d8f3c28bef71a869d84
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.13
Total PnL
$-245.21
Realised
$4.12
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
41 shares @ 7.4¢·now 19.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.05
$5.05
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 19, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 19, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 13, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$1.04May 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from Ukraine be the 2026 Conference League winner?$0.03May 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 7, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$1.04May 7, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 7, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 7, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Marton Fucsovics vs Dino Prizmic$0.47May 7, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-06?$2.78May 7, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.