Aged-Pawnshop
0xa6e4d6da7e3ba05550437db4475eacb1cc21369f
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
26%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
2086 shares @ 4.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$823.93
$735.76
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 21.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$446.01
$370.23
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1605 shares @ 31.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$377.29
$-122.36
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$214.82
$139.05
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$112.52
$36.75
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 13?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$112.52
$36.75
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.39
$30.61
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.30
$26.52
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?
2046 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.70
$-0.08
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
419 shares @ 22.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.54
$-39.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?$0.011d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?$0.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$37.191d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on or prior to May 6?$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?$1.122d ago
- MERGEWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?$20.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?$13.772d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 9?$0.662d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 9?$0.192d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 10?$0.872d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$12.742d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 10?$0.192d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 9?$0.192d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 31?$3.322d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?$3.722d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?$4.112d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?$3.662d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 16?$3.592d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 10?$1.542d ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 9?$1.842d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $84.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".