Pointed-Prosperity
0xa6e7ffa50b030c3a448511f5c268504eaa3e5fbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.03
Total PnL
$-31.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
3163 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.53
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
2250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
220 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$0.00Mar 1, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$2.86Mar 1, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.00Dec 6, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?$1.53Dec 6, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$1.00Dec 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane form by May 31?$5.20Dec 6, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$3.00Dec 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "31 years" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?$3.84Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?$1.00Dec 4, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAfD banned in 2025?$0.50Dec 4, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?$5.00Dec 4, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 4, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Dec 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAfD banned in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$3.00Dec 4, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" or "Deal" 7+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?$1.00Dec 4, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "31 years" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?$1.00Dec 4, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.