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BusinessExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Probability

18¢

1h

-4.5pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$45.87

Liquidity

$2.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5995.5h

    LOW
  • 04:29Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5996h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 04:29Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region. Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify. The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of other Tesla models, such as robotaxi configurations with expanded seating, will not count. Announcements that either preorders or full customer orders will open in the future do not qualify on their own; the preordering or ordering window must actually open within this market's timeframe to count. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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