Identical-Tendency
0xa6f0369e40839599ce4790764ef91a7bc9cbcf94
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-244.08
Realised
$13.56
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
833 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
642 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
517 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.03
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
169 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-32.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
107 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
105 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.91Jul 14, 09:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$0.61Jun 27, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.