Considerate-Wiseguy
0xa6fb9d84f8a48982dd5c5735eb10e01795b4554c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$45.74
Total PnL
$-611.03
Realised
$13.48
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
145 shares @ 6.9¢·now 10.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.71
$4.71
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
184 shares @ 3.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.87
$5.14
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$-5.80
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$1.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
24 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
24 shares @ 8.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
53 shares @ 18.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$-8.88
- YES
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$-3.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?
23 shares @ 8.7¢·now 4.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$39.22Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$18.87Jun 10, 18:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$20.49Jun 9, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$10.46Jun 9, 10:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$10.23Jun 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$5.22Jun 7, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$1.05Jun 7, 16:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$38.62Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.00Jun 3, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $8.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.